Winter Prediction For Texas in 2025?
Drier-than-normal conditions are expected in the western and central U.S., with equal chances for wet or dry weather along the West Coast. Meanwhile the southeastern United State including Texas, the Gulf States and the Eastern Seaboard is likely to experience wetter-than-normal conditions. The highest chance of above-average rainfall (50-60%) is predicted for the Gulf Coast and Florida.
Temperature: Texas is likely to experience average to slightly above-average temperatures during the winter months. It won’t be as cold as some of the northern regions or the Northeast.
Precipitation: The region may see a mix of weather patterns, but overall, it will be drier than usual. There might be occasional winter storms or cold fronts, but significant snowfall is unlikely.
Snowfall: Significant snowfall is not anticipated for Texas. While some areas might see light snow or ice, major snow events are not expected.
Winter Weather Predictions 2024 25 Texas
General Overview:
ENSO-Neutral Conditions: The winter will be influenced by ENSO-neutral conditions, meaning there won’t be a strong El Niño or La Niña impact.
Historical Context:
- Winter 2021-2022: Warm temperatures were predominant in the Southeast, including Texas, with colder conditions in the West and Northern Plains.
- Winter 2022-2023: Characterized by a negative Pacific North American (PNA) pattern, leading to colder temperatures in the West and warmer conditions in the East. This pattern caused difficulties in achieving significant snowfall in the Eastern United State including Texas.
Current Prediction Trends
El Niño/La Niña Forecast:
La Niña: The forecast suggests a weaker La Niña is more likely, but it’s not the strongest prediction. A neutral ENSO pattern would be preferred for more balanced weather.
Temperature:
Expected Temperatures: The prediction suggests temperatures could be warmer than average especially in the Southern United State , including Texas.
Precipitation:
Expected Precipitation: Above-normal precipitation is expected in southeastern Texas. This means there could be more rain or mixed precipitation but snowfall is not highly anticipated.
Month-to-Month Breakdown:
- Summer 2024: Anticipated to be warmer with a hot summer extending into September.
- Fall 2024: Warmer temperatures are expected to continue into October and November.
Winter 2024-2025:
- December: Could see some cooler temperatures starting to creep in.
- January: Predicted to be warmer, with potential for some thawing of colder temperatures.
- February: Cooler temperatures are expected especially in the Northeast and Upper Midwest, but overall Texas may still experience warmer conditions compared to historical averages.
Winter weather outlook for Texas 2024-2025
Solar Activity: We are nearing the peak of Solar Cycle 25, which is associated with increased sunspot activity. This is likely to result in generally warmer temperatures in Texas.
El Niño/La Niña Conditions: After a strong El Niño last year, the upcoming winter may experience neutral conditions or possibly La Niña. La Niña typically brings cooler & wetter conditions but if neutral conditions prevail the weather might be milder overall.
Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO): A warm AMO suggests warmer sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic, which may contribute to warmer temperatures in Texas.
Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO): A cool PDO could introduce some variability in weather patterns affecting temperature & precipitation in Texas.
Polar Vortex: There is a potential for brief cold snaps due to variability in the polar vortex but the overall winter is expected to be milder.
Lowest Temperature Ever Recorded in Texas
The lowest temperature ever recorded in Texas was -23°F (-30.5°C), observed in both Tulia on February 12, 1899 and Seminole on February 8, 1933
Other notable low temperatures in Texas :
| Location | Date | Temperature (°F) | Temperature (°C) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tulia, Texas | February 12, 1899 | -23°F | -30.5°C |
| Seminole, Texas | February 8, 1933 | -23°F | -30.5°C |
| Spearman, Texas | January 4, 1959 | -22°F | -30.0°C |
| Vega, Texas | January 4, 1959 | -22°F | -30.0°C |
| Dimmitt, Texas | February 12, 1899 | -21°F | -29.4°C |
| Dalhart, Texas | February 12, 1899 | -21°F | -29.4°C |
| Pampa, Texas | January 4, 1959 | -21°F | -29.4°C |
Hottest Temperatures Recorded in TexasÂ
| Location | Temperature | Date |
|---|---|---|
| Monahans | 120°F (49°C) | June 28, 1994 |
| Seymour | 120°F (49°C) | August 12, 1936 |
| Wichita Falls | 117°F (47°C) | June 28, 1980 |
| Midland | 116°F (47°C) | June 27, 1994 |
| Odessa | 116°F (47°C) | June 27, 1994 |
| Del Rio | 115°F | June 21, 2023 |
| Marfa | 114°F | July 10, 2018 |
| Dallas/Fort Worth | 113°F | June 26 & 27, 1980 |
Texas Snowfall Records
| Record Type | Location | Value | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Highest Single-Day Snowfall | El Paso | 14.5 inches | December 13, 1987 |
| Highest Two-Day Snowfall | Dallas | 8.8 inches | February 12-13, 2010 |
| Highest Three-Day Snowfall | Dallas | 8.8 inches | February 13-15, 2010 |
| Highest Seasonal Snowfall | Dallas | 14.1 inches | 1970-1971 |
| First Recorded 2 Inches of Snowfall | Wichita Falls | November 1, 1951 |
FAQ
Will Texas have a cold winter in 2024 2025?
As of now, predictions for the winter of 2024-2025 in Texas lean towards warmer-than-normal temperatures.
Coldest Day in Texas 2024
The coldest day in Texas in 2024 so far was on January 16th. Several locations across the central and western Texas Panhandle recorded sub-zero readings
Recommended Post :
